Geopolitics Prediction Markets

Live Polymarket odds on geopolitical events: conflicts, treaties, sanctions and leadership changes worldwide.

Top Geopolitics markets on Polymarket by volume
Market	Volume
Netanyahu out by...?	$124.5M
Venezuela leader end of 2026?	$98.1M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?	$75.5M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	$72.8M
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	$44.3M
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	$43.7M
Iran leader end of 2026?	$40.1M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?	$37.8M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?	$33.0M
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?	$29.5M
Putin out as President of Russia by...?	$28.3M
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026	$27.8M
Iran leadership change by...?	$27.0M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	$26.9M
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?	$22.2M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?	$19.7M
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?	$18.0M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?	$16.6M
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	$14.5M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	$14.4M
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?	$14.2M
Trump out as President before 2027?	$12.4M
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	$11.8M
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	$10.9M
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?	$8.5M

Updated 2026-10-08