No 97% chance. Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? — live odds, $14.2M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
3%
0.0%
—
No
97%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
What are the current odds for Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...??
As of today, Yes at 3%, No at 97%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...??
Total trading volume is $14,197,735, with $45,646 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
