No 85% chance. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — live odds, $71.6M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
16%
0.0%
—
No
85%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
What are the current odds for Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
As of today, Yes at 16%, No at 85%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027??
Total trading volume is $71,588,865, with $866,437 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
