Live Polymarket odds on weather events: temperature records, storms and seasonal outcomes.
| Market | Volume |
|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | $18.5M |
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | $8.1M |
| Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? | $3.6M |
| How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026? | $1.5M |
| How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? | $1.2M |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | $826K |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | $768K |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | $348K |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
| $330K |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | $315K |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? | $248K |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | $207K |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | $147K |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | $142K |
| Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | $140K |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | $117K |
| When will the Danube River return to normal levels? | $113K |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 2? | $107K |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 2? | $104K |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | $96K |
| How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026? | $84K |
| When will the Rhine River return to normal levels? | $75K |
| What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño? | $63K |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 2? | $62K |
| AI data center in space by...? | $62K |