No 92% chance. Natural Disaster in 2026? — live odds, $248K volume, resolves 2027-03-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Natural Disaster in 2026?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
9%
0.0%
—
No
92%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:
- A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
- A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
- A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
- An 8.5+ earthquake occurs
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
What are the current odds for Natural Disaster in 2026??
As of today, Yes at 9%, No at 92%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Natural Disaster in 2026?" resolve?
This market resolves on March 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Natural Disaster in 2026??
Total trading volume is $247,805, with $1,242 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Natural Disaster in 2026?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
