Economy Prediction Markets

Live Polymarket odds on the economy: Fed rate decisions, inflation prints and recession probability.

Top Economy markets on Polymarket by volume
Market	Volume
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	$54.0M
Fed Decision in October?	$29.4M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	$14.4M
Largest Company end of December 2026?	$7.8M
Fed rate cut by...?	$3.8M
Fed Decision in December?	$2.8M
US recession by end of 2026?	$2.3M
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?	$1.9M
How high will inflation get in 2026?	$1.5M
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	$1.1M
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?	$945K
China Annual GDP Growth 2026	$920K
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?	$717K
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	$589K
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?	$551K
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026	$506K
US x Cuba economic deal by...?	$442K
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?	$346K
Bank of England decision in November?	$294K
Fed Decision in January?	$278K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	$244K
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)	$243K
Which companies will the US take a stake in?	$208K
Largest Company end of October 2026?	$200K
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?	$196K

Updated 2026-10-08