July 2027 Meeting 60% chance. Fed rate cut by...? — live odds, $3.7M volume, resolves 2028-01-29. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2027 Meeting | 60% | 0.0% | — |
| April 2027 Meeting | 39% | 0.0% | — |
| June 2027 Meeting | 35% | 0.0% | — |
| March 2027 Meeting | 23% | 0.0% | — |
| January 2027 Meeting | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| December 2026 Meeting | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| October 2026 Meeting | 1% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2027, currently scheduled for January 26 to 27. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.