December 31, 2027 70% chance. Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...? — live odds, $999K volume, resolves 2028-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 70% | 0.0% | — |
| June 30, 2027 | 47% | 0.0% | — |
| December 31, 2026 | 2% | 0.0% | — |
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.