Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | PredyX
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
About this market
No 94% chance. Will Russia invade another country in 2026? — live odds, $586K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
7%
0.0%
—
No
94%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What are the current odds for Will Russia invade another country in 2026??
As of today, Yes at 7%, No at 94%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will Russia invade another country in 2026?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Will Russia invade another country in 2026??
Total trading volume is $585,654, with $53,589 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will Russia invade another country in 2026?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.