Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | PredyX
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
About this market
No 92% chance. Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? — live odds, $462K volume, resolves 2027-07-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
9%
0.0%
—
No
92%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What are the current odds for Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027??
As of today, Yes at 9%, No at 92%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?" resolve?
This market resolves on July 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027??
Total trading volume is $461,978, with $82,307 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.