Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | PredyX
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
About this market
No 88% chance. Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? — live odds, $3.3M volume, resolves 2028-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
13%
0.0%
—
No
88%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What are the current odds for Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027??
As of today, Yes at 13%, No at 88%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2028.
How much has been traded on Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027??
Total trading volume is $3,301,841, with $193,402 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.