Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | PredyX
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
About this market
No 99% chance. Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? — live odds, $198K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
1%
0.0%
—
No
99%
0.0%
—
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
What are the current odds for Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027??
As of today, Yes at 1%, No at 99%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027??
Total trading volume is $197,936, with $8,045 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
