No 55% chance. Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? — live odds, $469K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
45%
0.0%
—
No
55%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized.
If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.
What are the current odds for Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026??
As of today, Yes at 45%, No at 55%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026??
Total trading volume is $469,167, with $24,504 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.