Friedrich Merz 63% chance. Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? — live odds, $553K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz | 63% | 0.0% | — |
| Ursula von der Leyen | 30% | 0.0% | — |
| Emmanuel Macron | 21% | 0.0% | — |
| Mark Rutte | 14% | 0.0% | — |
| Mark Carney | 13% | 0.0% | — |
| António Guterres | 11% | 0.0% | — |
| JD Vance | 10% | 0.0% | — |
| Donald Trump | 4% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.