Thom Tillis 10% chance. Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — live odds, $292K volume, resolves 2027-01-02. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thom Tillis | 10% | 0.0% | — |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | 10% | 0.0% | — |
| Mike Lee | 9% | 0.0% | — |
| Raphael Warnock | 9% | 0.0% | — |
| Alex Padilla | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| Andy Kim | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Jerry Moran | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Jacky Rosen |
| 7% |
| 0.0% |
| — |
| John Fetterman | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Josh Hawley | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Lisa Blunt Rochester | 7% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).