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Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

About this market

Avengers: Doomsday 54% chance. Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? — live odds, $314K volume, resolves 2027-02-01. Trade on PredyX.

Current outcome probabilities for Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Avengers: Doomsday54%0.0%—
Spider-Man: Brand New Day45%0.0%—
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0%0.0%—
Dune: Messiah0%0.0%—

Rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week. If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Category
other
Total volume
$314.45K
Liquidity
$9.14K
Resolution date
Feb 1, 2027
Condition ID
0x5e38b77551a62c844b4250a569ec2652f522b01312e428842bf03337405a555a

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026??
As of today, Avengers: Doomsday at 54%, Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 45%, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping at 0%, Dune: Messiah at 0%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?" resolve?
This market resolves on February 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026??
Total trading volume is $314,446, with $9,143 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
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Last updated Nov 1, 2026