New Zealand 12% chance. Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027? — live odds, $761K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand | 12% | 0.0% | — |
| Italy | 9% | 0.0% | — |
| Japan | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| The Netherlands | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| Belgium | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| Greece | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Finland | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Germany | 5% | 0.0% | — |
| Austria |
| 4% |
| 0.0% |
| — |
| Israel | 4% | 0.0% | — |
| United States | 3% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.