Venezuela 14% chance. Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? — live odds, $821K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela | 14% | 0.0% | — |
| Lebanon | 10% | 0.0% | — |
| Saudi Arabia | 6% | 0.0% | — |
| Tunisia | 6% | 0.0% | — |
| Pakistan | 5% | 0.0% | — |
| Syria | 5% | 0.0% | — |
| Indonesia | 4% | 0.0% | — |
| Iraq | 4% | 0.0% | — |
| Kuwait |
| 4% |
| 0.0% |
| — |
| North Korea | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| Cuba | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| Afghanistan | 3% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.