Other 60% chance. What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? — live odds, $60K volume, resolves 2026-11-30. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 60% | 0.0% | — |
| Isaias | 21% | 0.0% | — |
| Josephine | 13% | 0.0% | — |
| Kyle | 7% | 0.0% | — |
| Marco | 4% | 0.0% | — |
| Cristobal | 1% | 0.0% | — |
| Nana | 1% | 0.0% | — |
| Fay | 1% | 0.0% | — |
| Leah |
| 1% |
| 0.0% |
| — |
| Edouard | 0% | 0.0% | — |
| Dolly | 0% | 0.0% | — |
| Hanna | 0% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.