$100M 99% chance. Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? — live odds, $3.4M volume, resolves 2028-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 99% | 0.0% | — |
| $200M | 98% | 0.0% | — |
| $300M | 96% | 0.0% | — |
| $500M | 89% | 0.0% | — |
| $800M | 77% | 0.0% | — |
| $1B | 65% | 0.0% | — |
| $2B | 30% | 0.0% | — |
| $3B | 14% | 0.0% | — |
| $4B | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| $5B | 5% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".