No 98% chance. Satoshi's identity be proven by...? — live odds, $2.0M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
2%
0.0%
—
No
98%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
What are the current odds for Satoshi's identity be proven by...??
As of today, Yes at 2%, No at 98%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Satoshi's identity be proven by...?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Satoshi's identity be proven by...??
Total trading volume is $2,001,080, with $20,058 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Satoshi's identity be proven by...?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
