No 97% chance. Lai Ching-te impeached by...? — live odds, $1.4M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
3%
0.0%
—
No
97%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
What are the current odds for Lai Ching-te impeached by...??
As of today, Yes at 3%, No at 97%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Lai Ching-te impeached by...?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Lai Ching-te impeached by...??
Total trading volume is $1,359,010, with $10,222 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Lai Ching-te impeached by...?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.