December 31, 2027 75% chance. Kraken IPO by ___ ? — live odds, $1.6M volume, resolves 2028-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 75% | 0.0% | — |
| June 30, 2027 | 31% | 0.0% | — |
| March 31, 2027 | 19% | 0.0% | — |
| December 31, 2026 | 4% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.