No 86% chance. Insurrection Act invoked by...? — live odds, $1.1M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Insurrection Act invoked by...?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
15%
0.0%
—
No
86%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What are the current odds for Insurrection Act invoked by...??
As of today, Yes at 15%, No at 86%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Insurrection Act invoked by...?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Insurrection Act invoked by...??
Total trading volume is $1,133,755, with $3,387 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Insurrection Act invoked by...?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
