No 98% chance. Human moon landing in 2026? — live odds, $2.0M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Human moon landing in 2026?
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Yes
2%
0.0%
—
No
98%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What are the current odds for Human moon landing in 2026??
As of today, Yes at 2%, No at 98%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Human moon landing in 2026?" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Human moon landing in 2026??
Total trading volume is $1,972,305, with $22,080 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Human moon landing in 2026?"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.