240-259 13% chance. Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026? — live odds, $316K volume, resolves 2026-10-16. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 240-259 | 13% | 0.0% | — |
| 260-279 | 12% | 0.0% | — |
| 220-239 | 12% | 0.0% | — |
| 200-219 | 11% | 0.0% | — |
| 280-299 | 10% | 0.0% | — |
| 180-199 | 9% | 0.0% | — |
| 300-319 | 8% | 0.0% | — |
| 320-339 | 5% | 0.0% | — |
| 160-179 |
| 5% |
| 0.0% |
| — |
| 500+ | 4% | 0.0% | — |
| 340-359 | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| 140-159 | 3% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.