65-89 68% chance. Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026? — live odds, $317K volume, resolves 2026-10-19. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 | 68% | 0.0% | — |
| 90-114 | 17% | 0.0% | — |
| 40-64 | 12% | 0.0% | — |
| 115-139 | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| 140-164 | 0% | 0.0% | — |
| 165-189 | 0% | 0.0% | — |
| 190-214 | 0% | 0.0% | — |
| 215-239 | 0% | 0.0% | — |
| 240+ | 0% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 17 12:00 PM ET to October 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.