Harry Kane 48% chance. Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — live odds, $44.7M volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
Current outcome probabilities for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Outcome
Probability
24h change
Volume
Harry Kane
48%
0.0%
—
Lamine Yamal
46%
0.0%
—
Lionel Messi
2%
0.0%
—
Kylian Mbappé
2%
0.0%
—
Rodri
1%
0.0%
—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
0%
0.0%
—
Ousmane Dembélé
0%
0.0%
—
Michael Olise
0%
0.0%
—
Fabian Ruiz
0%
0.0%
—
Erling Haaland
0%
0.0%
—
Jude Bellingham
0%
0.0%
—
Vinícius Júnior
0%
0.0%
—
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
What are the current odds for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
As of today, Harry Kane at 48%, Lamine Yamal at 46%, Lionel Messi at 2%, Kylian Mbappé at 2%, based on live Polymarket trading data.
When does "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026" resolve?
This market resolves on January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
Total trading volume is $44,740,207, with $195,361 in liquidity.
How do I trade "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026"?
You can trade this Polymarket prediction market directly from your browser on PredyX — a non-custodial trading terminal with live odds, limit orders, and copy trading.
