Lamine Yamal 99% chance. Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 — live odds, $146K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 99% | 0.0% | — |
| Harry Kane | 98% | 0.0% | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | 93% | 0.0% | — |
| Lionel Messi | 69% | 0.0% | — |
| Rodri | 65% | 0.0% | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 35% | 0.0% | — |
| Michael Olise | 33% | 0.0% | — |
| Fabian Ruiz | 25% | 0.0% | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé |
| 23% |
| 0.0% |
| — |
| Erling Haaland | 10% | 0.0% | — |
| Jude Bellingham | 6% | 0.0% | — |
| Vitinha | 5% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.