Lamine Yamal 98% chance. Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 — live odds, $260K volume, resolves 2027-01-01. Trade on PredyX.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamine Yamal | 98% | 0.0% | — |
| Harry Kane | 96% | 0.0% | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | 62% | 0.0% | — |
| Lionel Messi | 30% | 0.0% | — |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 12% | 0.0% | — |
| Rodri | 12% | 0.0% | — |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 6% | 0.0% | — |
| Michael Olise | 6% | 0.0% | — |
| Fabian Ruiz | 6% | 0.0% | — |
| Erling Haaland | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| Achraf Hakimi | 3% | 0.0% | — |
| Lautaro Martinez | 3% | 0.0% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harry Kane officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.